THINKBACK FAS 5/09 – 2010

March 26, 2010 in Ideas & Strategies

1. GOING FURTHER OUT ON EVEN 10ISH DELTAS BUFFERS/SMOOTHS OUT JAGGED RESPONSE IN THE OPTION UP OR DOWN PREVENTING STOP OUTS AND SLOWING PROFIT TAKING BUT SEEMS MORE CONSISTENT.

2. ALL THE TRADES BELOW WERE EXECUTED USING DELTA ALONE AS THE ENTRANCE SIGNAL AND PRICE ALONE AS THE EXIT.

3. IN COMPARISON TO OTHER CHARTS GENERALLY SPEAKING THE STOPS INDICATED BELOW HAPPENED RESPONDING TO BIGGER MOVES RESOUNDING OFF AN OUTER LINEAR REGRESSION.

4. HOWEVER NOT ALWAYS DID BEING NEAR THE OUTER LINEAR REGRESSION GENERATE A MOVE SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO INITIATE A STOP OUT.

2010 03 26 TOS CHARTS 300x153 THINKBACK FAS 5/09 – 2010

5/09

5/1 – 5/15 .22 50% stop -.57 this one reached a 100% stop before it reached 50% profit icon sad THINKBACK FAS 5/09 – 2010

5/15 – 5-22 – .17 50% PROFIT AVAILABLE BUT DELTAS WERE STILL EVEN WITH ROOM FOR PROFIT.

5/22 – 5/27 – .22 FINISHED TRADE LITTLE TO NO PROFIT LEFT IN OPTIONS

5/27 – 6/10 – .175 50%

6/25 – 7/17 100% STOP OUT

7/17 – 7/21 – .70 50%

7/21 – 7/30 1.05 100% STOP

7/30 – 8/4 – 1.12 STOP

8/4 – 8/7 2.92 STOP

8/7 – 8/21 – 2.05 50% DELTAS ARE STILL EVEN

8/21 – 8/31 – 2.95 RUNNING OUT OF PROFIT

8/31 – 9/1 LOL GET STOPPED OUT WITH 100 % OR HOLD TILL 9/9 FOR 50%

8/31 – 9/15 – GOING OUT TO OCT INSTEAD OF SEPT PREVENTED ABOVE STOP OUT AND EXITED 9/15 1.60 50%

9/9 – 9/21 – 2.12 50%

9/21 – 10/5 .75 50%

10/5 – 10/16 – 1.55 50%

10/16 – 10/22 – 1.25 50%

10/22 – 10/28 – 1.67 STOP

10/28 – 11/13 – 1.25 50%

11/13 – 11/23 – 1.02 50% TESTING SAME DAY SAME DELTA DIF EXP DIF STRIKES

11/13 – 11/24 – 1.60 50% TESTING AS ABOVE SEEMS TO WORK BETTER

11/24 – 12/ 11 – 1.20 50%

12/11 – 12/21 .85 50% 8.5 DAILY RETURN

12/11 – 1/4 – 1.85 50% 7.70 DAILY RETURN (STARTING HERE THERE WAS A NOTABLE GAP TO GO FORWARD I MAY GO BACK OVER LAST YEAR WITH FAS TRADING WITH THIS PATTERN TO SEE IF IT ELIMINATES SOME OF THE PREVIOUS STOPS. PROFITS ARE NOT AS QUICK. BUT NOT P/L IS NOT AS EFFECTED BY MOVEMENT OF THE UNDERLYING.

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